Martin Necas has officially moved from being a high-upside fantasy option to a proven NHL star. After producing 38 goals and 62 assists for 100 points in 78 games during his first full season with the Colorado Avalanche, the question is no longer whether he can thrive beside elite talent. The real question is whether fantasy managers should expect another 100-point season in 2026-27.
My projection: 36 goals, 60 assists and 96 points in 80 games.
That forecast represents a small statistical step backward, but it still places Necas among the most valuable right wings in fantasy hockey. His speed, controlled-zone entries, shooting talent and access to Colorado’s top offensive weapons create an unusually strong scoring floor.
Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar drive one of the NHL’s most dangerous attacks, while Nazem Kadri, Gabriel Landeskog and Colorado’s remaining top-six depth give opponents too many threats to isolate Necas.
The upside remains clear: if Necas plays 82 games and maintains most of last season’s finishing efficiency, another 100-point campaign is absolutely within reach.
Martin Necas Projected for 96 Points in 2026-27
Necas averaged approximately 1.28 points per game last season. Over 82 games, that scoring rate would translate to roughly 40 goals, 65 assists and 105 points.
I am projecting him below that pace because his 18.4 shooting percentage was exceptionally efficient. Reliable fantasy hockey projections should account for at least some finishing regression rather than assuming every career-best number will be repeated.
Still, this is not a prediction that Necas will suddenly fall back into the 70-point range.
His role has fundamentally changed since arriving in Colorado. Necas followed an 83-point 2024-25 season with his first 100-point campaign, demonstrating that his early production beside MacKinnon was not simply a short-term spike. The Avalanche also signed him to an eight-year extension through the 2033-34 season, giving the organization every reason to keep him in a premium offensive role.
| Category | 2026-27 projection |
|---|---|
| Games played | 80 |
| Goals | 36 |
| Assists | 60 |
| Points | 96 |
| Expected range | 88–105 points |
Why Martin Necas Can Remain an Elite Fantasy Hockey Forward
The strongest reason to believe in Necas is opportunity. He averaged 21:30 of ice time last season and generated 206 shots on goal. Even with a modest decline in shooting percentage, that combination of volume and deployment supports another season with at least 30 goals.
His playmaking outlook may be even safer than his goal projection.
MacKinnon forces defenders to collapse through the middle of the ice, while Makar changes shooting lanes from the blue line better than almost any defenseman in hockey. Necas benefits because he can attack open space with speed, distribute the puck off the rush or become the weak-side shooting option when penalty killers overcommit.
My personal observation is that Necas now looks more decisive with the puck than he did earlier in his career. In Carolina, he sometimes appeared caught between creating for his teammates and using his own shot. With Colorado, the reads are simpler. He can play fast, attack open ice and trust that elite finishers will be available when defenders close on him.
The return of Kadri gives Colorado another dangerous power-play weapon, but I do not view that as a major threat to Necas’ fantasy value. It may reduce the number of possessions that run directly through Necas, but it should also make the unit more difficult to defend. Kadri officially returned to Colorado in a March 2026 trade with the Calgary Flames.
A deeper power play can create additional secondary assists, rebound opportunities and favourable matchups for Necas.
Where Should Fantasy Managers Draft Martin Necas?
I would value Necas as a top-20 overall skater and one of the safest high-end right wings available.
In points-only leagues, he belongs in the early-round conversation. His combination of role security, elite linemates and multi-category scoring gives him a legitimate chance to outperform several players who will be selected ahead of him.
In standard category formats, Necas remains valuable because he contributes goals, assists, power-play production and a healthy shot total. However, managers should not draft him expecting elite penalty-minute or hit production.
The realistic floor is approximately 88 points if his shooting percentage falls sharply or he misses time. The most likely result is somewhere between 93 and 98 points. His ceiling remains 105-plus if Colorado’s power play stays healthy and he receives another full season beside MacKinnon.
The biggest risk is not Necas’ ability. It is whether last season’s 18.4 shooting percentage can be sustained. My model projects a moderate decline in finishing efficiency while preserving his elite deployment, which produces a final forecast of 36 goals, 60 assists and 96 points.
That would still make Necas an outstanding fantasy selection and a potential league-winning pick should he slide beyond the opening rounds.
Martin Necas Career NHL Stats
| Type | GP | G | A | P | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 519 | 162 | 264 | 426 | 72 |
| Playoffs | 79 | 13 | 35 | 48 | 5 |
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